Category Archives: Kaukasos

The North and South Caucasus

Berlin Steps in on Abkhazia

While Georgia-Russia tensions have mostly brought involved the US, EU and aforementioned two parties, Germany has stepped in with its own plan for peace in Abkhazia. A Spiegel article notes the plan consists of three phases, Phase one of the … Continue reading

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Use Connectivity to Win Abkhazia

The WSJ has an op-ed on the recent Abkhaz-Georgian-Russian tensions which for anyone following it, offers mainly a summary of the situation up until now recounting especially Georgian mistakes while spending little time on Russia. In fact, it fails to … Continue reading

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Another Day, Another UAV

News from Abkhazia seems to be a broke record these days. The Abkhaz news agency is claiming that two more Georgian drones were shot down today. So what is going on? As far as I can tell, the drone in … Continue reading

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As if on Cue

Just yesterday I again recommended that Georgia aim to internationalize its conflict with Russia over Abkhazia and South Ossetia as its only hope for eventual victory is diplomatic and not military. Today, the headlines seem to confirm that either the … Continue reading

Posted in Christendom, Kaukasos, War & Peace | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Another Drone Down? reports that Abkhazia claims it has shot down yet another Georgian drone, bringing the unconfirmed total to five. They include drones shot down (allegedly) on March 18, April 20th, and two more on May 4th. While Georgia denies the … Continue reading

Posted in Kaukasos, Muscovy | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Jamestown on Abkhazia

I’ve recently discussed the Georgia/Russia conflict here, here and here. Now, Jamestown weighs in on the Russian troop movements into Abkhazia with additional insight: If indeed the Georgians have massed 1500 troops with some guns in the upper Kodori, they … Continue reading

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To Annex or Annoy?

A question to readers: I recently predicted that hostilities between Georgia and Russia will increase through the end of the year. This is due primarily to Kosovar independence now being used as an ostensible reason to ramp up aggression against … Continue reading

Posted in Kaukasos, Muscovy | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Hot Gets Hotter in the Caucasus

Yesterday I mentioned the increasing belligerence of Russia and its aggression towards Georgia. Today, Moscow has threated force should Georgia attempt to retake its own territory militarily. The first assumption here, is that Georgia is somehow preparing for war, a … Continue reading

Posted in Kaukasos, Muscovy | Tagged , , , , , | 16 Comments

The Wine or the Sword?

Last year, while talking with several Georgian students outside an Orthodox church, they pointed at the large statue of a woman which towered over Tbilisi. It was “Mother Georgia” they said and in her hands were a bowl (for wine) … Continue reading

Posted in Kaukasos, Muscovy | Tagged , , , | 5 Comments

Russia shows its hand

With the independence of Kosovo, it seemed that Russia had backed down on its threats to recognize other separatist regions and indeed it did. But it was unlikely there would be no reaction which left analysts wondering when the second … Continue reading

Posted in Kaukasos, Muscovy | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment