Comments on: Global Trends, Part 4: An Older World, and thinking Core-Gap http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/ Speak Victorian, Think Pagan Sat, 20 Mar 2010 19:35:10 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: The Global Baby Boom » The Sly Oyster | culture & entertainment on the sly » Blog Archive http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386647 The Global Baby Boom » The Sly Oyster | culture & entertainment on the sly » Blog Archive Tue, 02 Dec 2008 14:11:43 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386647 [...] over at Coming Anarchy takes a look at youth bulges in the world and the theory that high populations of young people cause world problems like [...] [...] over at Coming Anarchy takes a look at youth bulges in the world and the theory that high populations of young people cause world problems like [...]

]]> By: SNA http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386640 SNA Tue, 02 Dec 2008 09:32:55 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386640 You wrote, "Meanwhile, current youth bulge states of Afghanistan, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Yemen will remain on rapid-growth trajectories." Why did you include Pakistan in that list? Look at the map: it's no longer red in 2025. Pakistan's fertility rates were high in the 1980s, but have fallen sharply since then, according to the most authoritative studies, such as Feeney & Alam. You wrote, “Meanwhile, current youth bulge states of Afghanistan, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Yemen will remain on rapid-growth trajectories.”

Why did you include Pakistan in that list? Look at the map: it’s no longer red in 2025.

Pakistan’s fertility rates were high in the 1980s, but have fallen sharply since then, according to the most authoritative studies, such as Feeney & Alam.

]]> By: JRVJ http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386626 JRVJ Mon, 01 Dec 2008 23:56:31 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386626 As a Panamanian, I must respectfully ask how exactly are we an unstable and/or anarchic country? (Panama seems to get caught by this "gap" argument, through no fault of its own other than being located where it is). As a Panamanian, I must respectfully ask how exactly are we an unstable and/or anarchic country?

(Panama seems to get caught by this “gap” argument, through no fault of its own other than being located where it is).

]]> By: ElamBend http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386609 ElamBend Sun, 30 Nov 2008 23:50:47 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386609 It's skilled labor that gets replaced by robots. Unskilled labor is usually cheaper than robots. Look at the auto industry for an example. It’s skilled labor that gets replaced by robots. Unskilled labor is usually cheaper than robots. Look at the auto industry for an example.

]]> By: Felix http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386605 Felix Sun, 30 Nov 2008 16:35:55 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386605 What will the poor do when they're replaced by robots for unskilled labor? What will the poor do when they’re replaced by robots for unskilled labor?

]]> By: ElamBend http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386598 ElamBend Sun, 30 Nov 2008 02:37:15 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386598 If there is no effective economy in these "worker bulge" states, what do these adults do? Where do they go? Also as scary are those dark blue ares on the 2025 map. No one is really sure what happens in an advanced economy when it starts to reverse in population (like Japan), not to mention the less developed economies in central and eastern Europe. I think Turkey, for one definitely stands to gain, though there are some dark Tuko-nationalists undercurrents in its political classes. If there is no effective economy in these “worker bulge” states, what do these adults do? Where do they go? Also as scary are those dark blue ares on the 2025 map. No one is really sure what happens in an advanced economy when it starts to reverse in population (like Japan), not to mention the less developed economies in central and eastern Europe. I think Turkey, for one definitely stands to gain, though there are some dark Tuko-nationalists undercurrents in its political classes.

]]> By: Carl http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/comment-page-1/#comment-386593 Carl Sat, 29 Nov 2008 20:39:03 +0000 http://cominganarchy.com/2008/11/29/global-trends-part-4-an-older-world/#comment-386593 Crescent? Interesting choice of words, however I must again agree with you. It's going to be an extremely interesting next 50 years. Crescent? Interesting choice of words, however I must again agree with you. It’s going to be an extremely interesting next 50 years.

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