In 1968, America was locked in an unwinnable war in Vietnam, incapable of defeating a USSR-backed surrogate. America’s inability to secure victory or stability in Southeast Asia resulted in skepticism in our reliability from vital allies, weakening our international standing, and undermining our position to negotiate globally. But that same year, Republican Richard Nixon won a narrow victory to take the White House. And in a few short years, the tables were turned.

The scandals of Nixon’s administration cloud the evaluation of his administration, but today few experts overlook the drastic change in America’s global strategic position that took place during his presidency. By the time Nixon was forced to resign in 1974, the United States had squeezed out of Vietnam without a technical defeat, commenced friendly relations with the People’s Republic of China, and set Egypt on a path to realign it into the American camp in the Middle East. With Nixon in the White House, the Soviets—so geopolitically secure in 1968—soon found themselves boxed in.
Today, the USSR is gone, but we face a similar situation. For all the public focus on the economy and the global financial crisis, the impact of which candidate is elected president will, in my mind, have little impact on what policies are adopted to counter these problems. Far more important is deciding which candidate has the judgment, knowledge, and strategic understanding to extract America’s military from Iraq and find bargaining chips to use against the motley crew of rogues we face globally. (I’m thinking primarily of the leadership in North Korea, Venezuela, Iran, and Russia).
Our geopolitical future was bleak in 1968, and it doesn’t look bright now in 2008. An exit strategy in Iraq is unclear. We are not strong enough to strong-arm Russia out of Georgia, force Venezuela to soften up, or make the DPRK to drop its nuclear weapons. But with smart maneuvering we can be stronger—there remains no clear challenger to American dominance of military, politics and economics through, at minimum, the first half of this century. It won’t be easy.
Just as important as a president with the right judgment will be selecting the right people to run the foreign policy administration. Who would be Secretary of State and Defense, and National Security advisor, in an Obama or McCain administration? I would encourage readers to vote on those grounds—we geneuinely need a modern-day Henry Kissinger.
It’s not clear what president would be better, but my absentee ballot has already been cast for John McCain and I hope he wins this election. I think he has the sufficient experience, time in government, and international exposure to grasp what needs to be done. But I admit there is much room for debate and discussion and would welcome all opinions to weigh in.

Comments to this entry
mihnea
October 12, 2008
9:22 am
TS
October 12, 2008
5:54 pm
I'm also really disturbed by McC's (and Bush's) truly infantile notion that we shouldn't talk to our enemies (esp. Iran & DPRK), that we should punish them for uncooperative behavior by denying them our conversation. This is a childish approach to foreign policy, there's no other word for it. It's a lack of respect for diplomacy as a tool.
As for McC's judgment to select a "modern-day Kissinger" and other senior staffers with the abilities and experience to tackle the challenges of our age, I leave you with a one-word rebuttal: Palin.
I respect your knowledge and opinions, Mr. Curzon, but in consideration of your clearly stated foreign policy goals and priorities, you have cast your ballot for the wrong candidate.
jim
October 12, 2008
8:56 pm
I find Obama's past anti-American positions and statements troubling. I hope he was just pandering to the Progressive Left at the time.
Obama also seems eager to be the next FDR - the man who put the Great in the Great Depression. FDR's policies were disastrous and extended the Great Depression 7 years longer than necessary. Yet the Left still honors that man.
TS
October 12, 2008
9:28 pm
(BTW, if we're going to talk about the left getting more lefty, we've got to talk about the right moving righter as well. I've had enough of dogmatic bullshit from all sides, and like most of the writers and writing on this blog, I want more clear-headed realism.)
Chirol
October 13, 2008
12:53 am
dj
October 13, 2008
2:04 am
sun bin
October 13, 2008
2:12 am
maybe what the USD needs, as you said, is a secretary of state -- whoever be president makes little difference, as long as he listens. W refused to listen and got into this mess.
anyway, one thing though. if you can't beat them, join them. so perhaps the russia should be treated like the 'china in 1971'? after, that Georgia is not one above FL, strategically it is as crucial as Ho Chi Minh City aka Saigon, so is its leader the South Vietnamese leader in 1960s.
sun bin
October 13, 2008
2:14 am
Gollios
October 13, 2008
2:26 am
I have no idea who either Senator McCain or Obama would nominate and I'm not sure who would be up to the task. But then again, when Kissinger was appointed N.S.A. did anyone think he could have succeeded where he did? (Seriously--does anyone have any statements from the wonks of the time on what they expected from Kissinger when he was first nominated as SecState? It would be interesting to compare and contrast them with his reputation now . . . ).
Curzon
October 13, 2008
12:10 pm
eddie
October 13, 2008
6:21 pm
"It turns out that none of her early claims to political courage was founded in fact, and it further turns out that some of the untested rumors about her—her vindictiveness in local quarrels, her bizarre religious and political affiliations—were very well-founded, indeed."
http://www.slate.com/toolbar.aspx?action=print&id=2202163 She's a skilled pol and not much else, a manufactured fraud of the highest order.
Consider also McCain is still committed to the neoconservative line of "Rogue state rollback" and has a misplaced faith in the universality of democracy. His foreign policy advisers with rare exceptions (Scowcroft, who seems like a shadow of himself when speaking of the McCain foreign policy) hew to this line.
Considering his decision making on the three most important issues in foreign policy America has made over the past few years (Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan), he is close to pathetic.
He was wrong on Iraq from the get-go, cannot or does not understand the reality of the Surge (which he explains was the result of the American troop surges, not the sort of pragmatism Petraeus and co. displayed in dealing with the tribes and the Shia alike) and wants to risk the fragile stability there to further threaten and possibly attack Iran. Do we need to discuss his trumpeting of Ahmed Chalabi, the great fraud, as a true patriot and his arrangement for funding him and his ilk to the tune of nearly $100 million?
He said we could muddle through in Afghanistan and now we see where that has gotten us. He insisted time and again Musharraf was our guy and that we could use him in Pakistan, when in reality he was a failure and our interests have been seriously harmed by our insistence on building a relationship thru Musharraf, not the Pakistani government.
That's realist and tough? It seems erratic, crazy and stupid taken over the last 8 years.
Obama could choose Chuck Hagel as Secretary of State (Holbrooke is not close to him and Biden is his VP) and his camp has put out numerous feelers about wanting to keep Gates at Defense. Sam Nunn will find his way in the FP team somewhere, probably Samantha Power, Richard Danzig or Richard Lugar as well. Tony Zinni could be his NSA.
You consider who is in the Republican stable for McCain and shudder. Lieberman? Graham? His top FP advisor is a leading neocon with little credibility on anything, Randy Scheunemann, who most recently was being paid $250,000 a year to advise Georgia's president. Great job he did!
Jeremiah
October 13, 2008
7:56 pm
I don't see how you can say McCain is a realist. It's inarguable that McCain used to be a realist. Ever since the rise of the Weekly Standard and the Neoconservative movement he has been closely aligned with both. His top foreign policy is Randy Scheunemann, a committed. He no longer mentions that he meets with Scowcroft or Kissinger. In fact, even though Kissinger is listed as an advisor to McCain, Kissinger's desire to talk to Iran without preconditions directly contradicts the views of the man he's supposedly advising.
His basic views of the world are fundamentally un-realist. From this NY Times profile of McCain (with which cooperated), we can see his rejection of basic realist tenets. He rejects that stability is found in the relationship between states. He starts from the position that moral reasons alone, not national security interests, can justify an intervention in another country. McCain often places his ideology above opportunities to advance the national interest.
Going beyond whether or not McCain is a neocon, I fundamentally dislike that his foreign policy is based on vastly over exaggerating threats and situations. This piece in Reason goes through all of the examples of McCain saying a situation is the most serious threat to American. Building on that, McCain has a tendency to overreact to every situations; he's more like a partisan TV pundit than someone who wants to lead American. The idea of putting a hothead who if not actually a neocon at the very least has very hard neocon leanings as Commander in Chief quite frankly scares me.
Another gripe I have with the ontological bases of McCain's foreign policy is that he shows no nuance in his understanding of the world. At Rick Warren's Presidential Forum when asked how he would face evil, he said he would simply defeat it as if evil can actually be defeated. It's nothing more than a childish answer. His Iraq policy has similar features; instead of laying out a concrete plan for how he would accomplish anything, he repeatedly uses empty sloganeering about victory, even after the Petraeus he mentions at least every day says there will be no 'victory' in Iraq.
Mitch H.
October 13, 2008
7:57 pm
As for Nixon... you'll note that no-one has ever praised Nixon for his rhetorical capacity. And his term in office was an economic disaster almost as profound as what we seem to be slipping into this season. At least this time 'round we seem to be avoiding the whole price-and-wage control thing.
So far.
eddie
October 13, 2008
8:25 pm
dj
October 14, 2008
6:08 am
What about Susan Rice?
Judging by these people we wont see troops coming home in the near future but rather just shifted to Sudan and the West Bank (really, just read Power's work on Israel/Palestine)
jon
October 14, 2008
3:00 pm
dj
October 15, 2008
5:27 am
I think McCain knows a little bit about leadership and being stuck with choices you would rather not have to make. Has Obama ever been in that type of Managerial/Executive position? (I guess you can count the Annenberg Challenge.)
ComingAnarchy.com » Blog Archive » Younghusband’s presidential endorsement
October 18, 2008
12:43 pm
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October 20, 2008
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Howard
October 28, 2008
6:23 pm
Cybercorrespondent
October 28, 2008
6:33 pm
1. Is wealth redistribution taking money from stockholders and redistributing it to those who don’t pay taxes?
2. Is it more important to make sure that illegal votes are not disenfranchised or making sure that groups like ACORN do not nullify honest votes.
3. Would premature U.S. withdrawal from Iraq grand jihadists a victory and make all of our accomplishments, money spent and lives lost a big waist?
4. Can this country afford to grant socialist Democrats total control of the government and allow them to sacrifice our safety by cutting the military budget by 25%?
Now comes the big question. How do we stop socialism from ruining our lives?
The answer is simple. Don’t vote American Bolsheviks into power and boycott the socialist propaganda media into bankruptcy.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjvBEKrGkDI
Cybercorrespondent
ComingAnarchy.com » Blog Archive » It’s 3am…
November 18, 2008
8:36 am