In Kenya, as the second opposition MP is assasinated, African human rights activitist Dismas Nkunda says that the chaos reminds him of 1994 Rwanda:
Kenya’s falling apart has made other conflicts on the continent look like chicken feed. Somalia and Darfur have now taken second stage. Never in my life of attending the [African Union Summit] have I seen so many Kenyans, busy telling the world what has been in our purview for a month now. They have met whoever has weight on the continent to deliver their disquiet.
One individual took to the podium and painted the glossiest picture about Kenya. He eloquently defended the government, saying the pictures we see on television about the dead and wounded were concoctions by international media meant to hurt the economy. He said the dead bodies shown on TV around the world were taken from the main mortuaries in the country. He went on to say that no one had been killed in the post-election violence. He was mocked off the stage, told that if he continued his litany, he was going to be lynched. He fled for dear life.
So I asked other Kenyans where this particular individual came from. Without blinking they told me he was a Kibaki supporter. I asked how they knew that. The answer was chilling: “His name is Mwangi and he for sure is a Kikuyu”. And what tribe are the others; “we are Luo,” they said.
The author continues into more details of violence rooted in tribal divisions. For a timeline of the violence, read the wikipedia article, Civil unrest in Kenya (2007-present).
That Kenya, long heralded as an “African success story” because of a so-called stable democracy with a growing economy, is facing tribal violence reminiscent of Rwanda shows how little hope there is in much of the African heartland. And as Kenya provides ocean access to export and import global markets for inland landlocked countries, places that depend on Kenyan infrastructure to keep their economies going, such as Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and eastern parts of the Democratic Republic of Congo, are facing shortages of vital supplies. And there are few signs of the situation improving—in fact, all indications point to just the opposite.

So I asked other Kenyans where this particular individual came from. Without blinking they told me he was a Kibaki supporter. I asked how they knew that. The answer was chilling: “His name is Mwangi and he for sure is a Kikuyu”. And what tribe are the others; “we are Luo,” they said.
Comments to this entry
dj
February 1, 2008
8:38 am
IN
February 1, 2008
12:58 pm
45,000 people are dying in Congo every month...800,000 people died in Rwanda(about 260,000 a month). Somalia has lost thousands over the last couple of moths. About 500,000 have died in Darfur!
Just thought i'd put things in perspective!
Adrian
February 1, 2008
8:37 pm
I take issue with this statement:
"That Kenya, long heralded as an “African success story” because of a so-called stable democracy with a growing economy, is facing tribal violence reminiscent of Rwanda shows how little hope there is in much of the African heartland."
Did the collapse of Yugoslavia, or the bloody coup in Romania show how little hope there is for Europe? Perhaps the violence in Columbia shows how the entire continent of South America is going down the tubes? Kenya's problems are Kenya's (and even confined to a part of Kenya), not all of Africa's. For instance I haven't seen any reports of the violence spreading across the border into Tanzania, despite shared ethnicities.
Michael
February 1, 2008
9:55 pm
Curzon
February 2, 2008
6:32 am
Yes, the Europe had Ireland in the 1980s and the Balkans in the 1990s, and other notable ongoing tensions in places such as northern Spain. But it wouldn't be until you saw ethnic cleansing in Denmark and Portugal that I'd have the same fears I have about Africa.
IN
February 2, 2008
6:07 pm
dj
February 3, 2008
12:14 am
random african
February 3, 2008
4:27 am
And yes, Ethnic issues in Kenya don't say much about the rest of Africa. For one, Kenya's ethnic situation has been, for a bunch of reasons, one of the worse on the continent. And that among other things is why it has been ranking very high on the Failed State Index for a while. Now when Tanzania or Senegal degenerates in ethnic violence, you can say "it can happen anywhere".
But at the end of it, the ethnic part of it is somehow overestimated. The tensions and conflicts that are now coming to the surface thanks to a rigged election and a weak democracy are really about land, politics, control of ressources, control of the state, not in "tribes", even if they express themselves that way.
But the most important thing is that the Kenyan stable democracy has never existed.