There’s an article in the Weekly Standard by Frederick Kagan about withdrawing our troops to Iraqi Kurdistan or Kuwait. It’s worth a read as it gets into the nitty gritty details that I didn’t when I proposed withdrawing to an independent Kurdistan. Interestingly, Kagan doesn’t address that possibility, seemingly forgetting that if the US setup camp in Kurdistan, it would definitely become a de facto independent country and would become so disconnected from Iraq that de jure wouldn’t be far off. What would keep them from declaring what everyone already knows? Especially with the US guarantee in place?
THE DEMOCRATIC TAKEOVER of Congress has predictably led to a rise in calls for the immediate withdrawal of American troops from Iraq. The authors of these calls, like Carl Levin and Joe Biden, frequently maintain that their proposals are not for “withdrawal” but for “redeployment.” U.S. forces would remain poised on bases in Iraqi Kurdistan, Kuwait, or elsewhere in the region to support the Iraqis with “rapid reaction forces.” The United States would thereby both “incentivize” the Iraqis to take responsibility for their own security and give them an over-the-horizon safety net. The trouble is that this “safety net” is illusory. It serves only to mask out-and-out withdrawal and defeat.We’ll ignore some of the sillier suggestions, such as basing “over the horizon” forces in Guam (thousands of miles away from Iraq) or Pakistan (hundreds of miles away and a place where we can’t even get permission to send Special Forces teams to hunt Osama bin Laden). Let’s consider instead the more realistic sounding plans of basing “quick reaction forces” (QRFs, as the military calls them) in Iraqi Kurdistan or Kuwait.
[...] When any of the practical difficulties are considered, it is revealed as utter nonsense.
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COMMENTS / 3 COMMENTS
MikeS added these pithy words on 15 Nov 06 at 6:36 pmKagan is right, but very few of the politicians championing “redeployment” actually intend for the troops to ultimately be available in a QRF. They intend for the troops to be back on their bases in the US with Iraq left to the mercy of Iran and other interests.
Outside of a foolish few, everyone knows that “redeployment” is code for another South Vietnam-like withdrawal and defeat. All that being said, it wouldn’t surprise me to see this actually happen in the next two years.
ElamBend added these pithy words on 16 Nov 06 at 3:23 amI just don’t know Chirol. Such a strategy relies on us being able to resupply by air and through Turkey. Turkey didn’t even let us bring the 4th ID through the north in 2003 and they are pissed about the PKK running things out of Kurdistan. I don’t see them backing this without some major concessions.
I don’t see the Kurds going for it unless they get Kirkuk.
Kevin added these pithy words on 16 Nov 06 at 9:52 pm
