Last week, Georgia arrested four Russians on spying charges. Since then, Russia has:
- Suspended its troop pullout from Georgia.
- Put its military bases there on high alert.
- Evacuated 80 staff from its embassy in Tbilsi.
- Stopped issuing visas to all Georgians.
- Called on the UNSC to condem Georgia
- Cut all postal, air, rail, road, and sea links with Georgia.
- Said the arrest of alleged spies is “state terrorism and hostage taking”
While no countries reacts well to its spies being caught or to catching spies, Moscow’s list of reactions can only be described as overreaction. In fact, Georgia has condemned it as such. Yet, looking at the list again, could this be more than a coincidence. Maybe Russia isn’t wrong in saying they are indeed not overreacting. In fact, if they are telling the truth, they intentionally outed their spies to provoke this crisis and escalate tensions. As Georgia moves ever closer to NATO, Russian punishment as extreme as the aforementioned has to be meted out under some ostensible cover. And this is it. Readers?
UPDATE: Georgia has transferred the suspects to the OSCE. This was an expected move in line with Georgia’s continued efforts to internationalize its problems and Russia’s ongoing efforts to destabilize it.

Comments to this entry
von Kaufman-Turkestansky
October 2, 2006
7:01 pm
Generally, it is clear that Russia is applying geopolitical pressure. America does the same thing in less critical-seeming circumstances, when it feels its interests threatened much further away from home. Other countries do too. I would not call either good or evil; some will argue that Russia is doing the provoking; others that Georgia is.
I would say that both are acting irrationally, and would call upon those who love peace to keep cool and debate things like this like adults.
Chirol
October 2, 2006
8:09 pm
As for politics, I'm in complete agreement that Russia's actions are beyond good and evil, and rather policy. I can understand both sides. As luck would have it, I sympathize more with Georgia on this one and believe Russia is pursuing shortsighted and dangerous policies vis-a-vis the Caucasus and Eastern Europe.
Dan tdaxp
October 2, 2006
8:53 pm
Elizabeth
October 2, 2006
10:00 pm
However, considering the huge number of Georgians working in Russia and vice-versa, the families (mixed-nationality and single-nationality) split between the two countries, I think that suspending visas and cutting off postal links is horrible. What about money transfers? Are those allowed?
Remember, a lot of people with Georgian passports might be ethnic Russians who foolishly did not foresee the slow deterioration of relations, and who got Georgian passports to keep their jobs and houses and dachas in Georgia. They didn't realize that they would eventually need visas to go to Russia, or that such visas could ever be hard to get.
The effects on normal people are way out of proportion to the actions, in my opinion.
ElamBend
October 3, 2006
1:13 am
Also, I fear that Georgia may put a bit too much stock in the EU/US protecting it if push came to shove.
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