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Curzon
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Curzon

Date

August 14th, 2006

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How Hezbollah Won

Hezbollah leader a hero to many Arabs

Despite the terrible toll in death and destruction in Lebanon, even enemies and critics say the stature of Hezbollah’s leader, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, has risen dramatically from his guerrillas fighting toe-to-toe with the Israeli army.

“Hassan Nasrallah has won militarily and politically and has become a new leader like Nasser,” Lebanese lawmaker Walid Jumblatt, a harsh critic of Hezbollah’s alliance with Iran and Syria, said in a television interview.

Israel’s ferocious bombing has rallied many more Lebanese around Hezbollah, regardless of politics or religion, said Gen. Antoine Lahd, who led a now defunct militia that helped Israeli troops police the occupation zone before they withdrew six years ago. Beirut’s leading newspaper, An-Nahar, has long been critical of Hezbollah – especially its harassing rocket attacks on Israel before the war began – but it urged all Lebanese to stand behind Nasrallah’s group to achieve victory against the Jewish state.

Just as Chirol predicted earlier this month, Hezbollah has won the war against Israel just by surviving. The question is, has Israel created a large enough “buffer zone” inside Lebanon to protect it from future attacks. But at best that’s still just a short-term solution to the Hezbollah cancer that will remain a menace to both states.

On a somewhat related note, Time has a good article on why young British Muslims turn to violence against their nation of birth.

Comments to this entry

J.Kende
August 14, 2006
4:24 am
The question is also whether this war is really over, the ceasefire will hold, Olmert will stay as PM, and what have we all missed in the fog of war. The Syrian moves along the Golan border might be showing the expect to be next once the ceasefire falls.
sun bin
August 14, 2006
5:49 am
hezbollah only won because olmert (?predictably?) chose the wrong strategy, which fell right into hezbollah's plan/trap.
Mi-Hwa
August 14, 2006
6:45 am
Israel has killed or injured too many Lebanese civilians, and that has generated a lot of sympathy for Hezbollah as a resistance group against Israeli invasion.

The creation of a buffer zone will not end Hezbollah.
snow
August 16, 2006
5:48 am
"The creation of a buffer zone will not end Hezbollah."

So what in the world will? What is it that will truly stop Palestinians and Arabs from pushing the Jews into the sea eventually? As a poster at another site noted, 'if the Arabs put down their weapons, it would mean the end of war, but if Israel put down its weapons, it would mean the end of Israel.' I don't think Israel has any good options. Diplomacy, appeasement, fighting. None of these seem to bring about good results as long as the underlying theme of their enemies is total destruction of Israel.
sun bin
August 18, 2006
4:02 am
buffer zone is a lot better than scaring the lebanonese into opposing hezbollah. right from the beginning i have said it should have been israel's objective.

now it achieved the same goal with much higher cost, plus bad publicity, and pissed off some 60% of lebanese who would otherwise be hostile to hezbollah.
Sonny
August 18, 2006
4:27 am
"Hezbollah has won the war against Israel..."

Who says the war is over? Did the Confederates win the Civil War after their victory at Chancellorsville in 1863? Did Germany win WWII after their victory against the French in 1940? Did the Japanese win the war after they took the Philippines in 1942? Did we lose the Cold War when we pulled out of Vietnam in 1975?

This is long war. And it's not over by a long shot.
sun bin
August 18, 2006
6:25 am
sonny has made a very good point. this is just a battle started in 1947......

i would say both israel and its arab neighbors failed miserably in this war.
Alexander Augustinius
August 18, 2006
5:44 pm
Nasrallah is a relic of what seems to be an endless Arab parody. There seems to be an abject denial of "the facts on the ground." Not "losing everything" is "winning."

While I sympathize with the Christian Lebanese and any secularists in the country, I have to admit that the Israelis did not go hard enough against their bearded foes. It is to be argued that the children of our friend, Usama, are likely to follow in the path of their daddy, regardless of which child-wife or goat they are from.

One must take a more Tatar approach to such things, if for nothing more than to reestablish the balance of rational people in Lebanon. I believe that the war is not over, and will not be over, until the islamists are crushed. It is unfortunate that some children have certain parents (applicable in many contexts).

Personally, I am pleased to see that the French have not failed to put their cowardice on public display (again), after "playing a significant role in the political process" (which will fail... again).
snow
August 19, 2006
3:30 am
Well spoken, Alexander. Very funny.