Entry details

Curzon
Author

Curzon

Date

July 4th, 2006

Tags

,

Comments

14 Comments so far.
Add yours.

DPRK July 4th Fireworks?

UPDATE III: For all the latest updates, see Marmot’s Hole.

UPDATE II: From a Japanese politics BBS

UPDATE: Exact details remain sketchy, but here’s what I take from reading a dozen or so stories: three (possibly four or six) missiles were launched. Two were short-range and landed in the Sea of Japan; one of those apparently landed closer to Russia than Japan, but both appear to be outside of any nation’s territorial waters (unconfirmed). A third missile, the long range T2, apparently failed 90 seconds after launch. As the first rocket booster would apparently last for about 90 seconds, this likely means that the second stage either 1.) malfunctioned or 2.) was not fueled. The first two missiles may have fired simultaneously to see what Japan/ROK/US technology could detect.

ORIGINAL POST: Breaking news:

Reports North Korea Fires Missile

There are reports North Korea has fired a missile but not the intercontinental missile being monitored by the US.

A Japanese television station reports a missile has landed in the Japan Sea, six hundred kilometres from the mainland.

Last month, the US warned it would “punish” North Korea if it test-fired a Taepodong-2 rocket, which has a range of 6,000 kilometres.

Comments to this entry

bp32
July 4, 2006
9:06 pm
Could it be they are simply trying to save face by this launch? They get to launch a missile seemingly in defiance of US threats but the missile they launch isn't one that the US is likely to risk punishing it for?

The question still remains in my mind if they ever actually had a 2-3 stage missile to launch--peering inside that murky state is indeed difficult...
bp32
July 4, 2006
9:20 pm
Well, now CNN is reporting 3 missiles, one of which was a T-2 according to an official source--this is getting interesting...
Richardson
July 4, 2006
9:36 pm
The two smaller missiles that were reportedly launched likely are SRBM, like March launch;

http://www.korealiberator.org/2006/03/10/north-korean-srmb-launches-saber-rattling-or-not/
GI Korea
July 4, 2006
10:09 pm
The two short range missiles are now being reported as decoys for the Taepodong-2 that failed after 35 seconds of flight. I'm not surprised at all as I have been long skeptical of the NK missile threat. I wonder if the ex-politicians advocating war with North Korea over this stupid missile still think we should bomb them?
sun bin
July 4, 2006
10:10 pm
what is 'mainland'?
is it the part assigned as "east sea" or "japan sea"? i mean EEZ-wise.
is there a map?
sun bin
July 4, 2006
10:24 pm
Ok, lets' assume 'mainland' is mis-translated from 'hon-shu, main island'...
"here it said 500-600km west of Hokaiddo":http://www.stuff.co.nz/stuff/0,2106,3722173a12,00.html
putting a ruler on the map of "Japan Sea" shows that 600km (or 400miles) from Japan is the eastern coast line of DPRK.
-- this confirms GI Korea's note above, 35 second from the base!

if that is the case, the japanese report is quite misleading......looks like the Koreans do have a very good point in the nomenclature dispute.
sun bin
July 4, 2006
10:28 pm
this one has scale
!http://www.geocities.co.jp/Berkeley-Labo/2061/Japan.jpg!

apologies to curzon for messing up the lay-out. is there a command to resize the map?
The Marmot’s Hole » Blog Archive » Rockets Up In Smoke
July 5, 2006
12:29 am
[...] Coming Anarchy’s Curzon also speculates: “A third missile, the long range T2, apparently failed 90 seconds after launch. As the first rocket booster would apparently last for about 90 seconds, this likely means that the second stage either 1.) malfunctioned or 2.) was not fueled. The first two missiles may have fired simultaneously to see what Japan/ROK/US technology could detect.” Share and Enjoy:These icons link to social bookmarking sites where readers can share and discover new web pages. [...]
412 Precondition Failed
July 5, 2006
5:02 am
[...] [...]
Sun Bin
July 5, 2006
7:31 am
Where did the North Korea missiles land?

600km west of Hokkaido, where the missile reportedly fell. It is about 100km south of Vladivostok in international water, and probably falls in the EEZ of Russia.
Joshua
July 5, 2006
11:35 am
Curzon, the reports I've seen indicate that the missile crashed after just 45 seconds.
ComingAnarchy.com » Blog Archive » If war broke out…
July 24, 2006
10:30 am
[...] Just don’t misunderstand the cause. Regardless of the sale figures of a few jingoistic comic books, the biggest cause of any change is a growing sense of anxiety about all of the crazy neighbors than a change in public opinion towards national pride. Or at least that’s how I see it. [...]
Left Flank » Blog Archive » Rockets Up In Smoke
August 2, 2006
5:46 am
[...] Coming Anarchy’s Curzon also speculates: “A third missile, the long range T2, apparently failed 90 seconds after launch. As the first rocket booster would apparently last for about 90 seconds, this likely means that the second stage either 1.) malfunctioned or 2.) was not fueled. The first two missiles may have fired simultaneously to see what Japan/ROK/US technology could detect.” [...]
Aftermath of NK Missile Tests «
October 22, 2006
5:29 am
[...] UPDATE #1:  Coming Anarchy has a post on the launch up and here is the Fox News report on the launch: North Korea may have tried to fire a long-range missile, but it failed in flight, two U.S. officials told FOX News on Tuesday. Two non-guided, medium-range Scud-style missiles were also fired, North American Aerospace Defense Command confirmed. [...]