What should we do about China? The BBC sums up the debate this way:
Opinion in Washington is divided. Some Republicans want to pressure China on human rights issues while others – the more business-orientated – want to pursue an active engagement. The dichotomy in US policy has been neatly described as a struggle between “panda huggers” and “dragon slayers”.The difficulty is not just in framing policy but in finding language to describe it.
“Managing China’s rise” sounds patronising and affords the US an ability to shape China’s destiny which it simply does not have. “Containing China” hankers back to Cold War terminology which is equally unhelpful.
Reconciling these tensions is Mr Bush’s task. He hopes to demonstrate on this trip that despite the problems of Middle East peace or of security in Iraq, and irrespective of the so-called global war on terror, Asia matters.
“Managing China’s rise” sounds patronising and affords the US an ability to shape China’s destiny which it simply does not have. “Containing China” hankers back to Cold War terminology which is equally unhelpful. Reconciling these tensions is Mr Bush’s task. He hopes to demonstrate on this trip that despite the problems of Middle East peace or of security in Iraq, and irrespective of the so-called global war on terror, Asia matters.
Besides the usual BBC silliness (like, Asia actually matters!), the article almost hits the mark. Mr. Bush need not reconcile these two points—he has to consider both. Containing China should be one of the goals of US policy for the next few decades. However, no US politician or policymaker should ever say this. The consequences of such an assertion would damage bilateral relations and help the CCP shore up support with China’s rabid future voters. But like it or not, that should be one of our primary goals in the decades to come.

Comments to this entry
Kushibo
November 16, 2005
12:47 am
Do you mean the National People's Congress once they shed their rubber-stamp status?
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I like the point you make, that "no US politician or policymaker should ever say this [about containing China]."
Curzon
November 16, 2005
12:49 am
(And thank you. Although I suspect many will disagree.)
Jing
November 16, 2005
1:40 am
bill bishop
November 16, 2005
2:52 am
china is far too effective at infusing foeign policy with trade, and so the us will have no supporters among our allies to try to contain china. they are all too busy trading with and investing in china. china has already co-opted them.
what we need to do is continue to engage china on every level. and we should never forget the concept of peaceful evolution. the 4th generation after communism took over is growing up
http://bbb.typepad.com
Mike
November 16, 2005
3:02 am
And yes, the best strategy for dealing wtih China is to treat them as though they are already our peer and the world is bi/multi-polar again. Rock on, power transition theory.
davesgonechina
November 16, 2005
5:51 am
All of it sounds absurdly reductionist. "Panda hugger"? "Dragon slayer"? If that's how we're framing things, we're off to a bad start to begin with.
snow
November 16, 2005
10:42 am
Bill Rice
November 16, 2005
6:47 pm
1) The US has substantially strengthened its ties with Japan, removing diplomatic stumbling blocks, like Marines in Okinawa, to including a more proactive defense posture in the East China Sea.
2) The US has made strong overtures to India to make it a "21st Century world power", and these incentives include military, nuclear and economic benefits.
3) The US has promised the defense of Taiwan overtly by President Bush himself
4) The US has received Singapore and Malaysian consent to help patrol the Malacca Straits, which over 25% of the worlds oil supply moves through (and a huge portion of China's)
5) The US and Australia are coordinating defense policy at a closer level.
6) Look for signs from the South Koreans regarding their relationship with China during the current Bush visit.
China's military buildup (double digit growth for over a decade) is worrisome to all of its Asian neighbors. The US can be the balancing force working in concert with other Asian countries to help promote an emerging China that moves towards democracy rather than away from it.
Time will tell, but I think it is clear the "dragon slayers" are driving the policy.
Kind regards,
Bill Rice
sun bin
November 16, 2005
8:50 pm
also is Bill Biship and Bill Rice.
You can make 'contain' the second power your policy, and revise your target every other year
1950-85: USSR
1985-2000: Japan
2000-20??: China
then it will be EU, then maybe India, Brazil, or Russia again.
That is, if you assume the world is a zero sum game; and you want to keep yourself very busy and always need a reason to spend more money to defense contractors.
Skippy-san
November 16, 2005
11:16 pm
That's the real problem that I see is this myth that US economy is too interlocked with China's so any action by the US can come back and bite the US where it hurts.
J. Kende
November 17, 2005
7:47 am
Easy enough, no?
Ron Patterson
November 17, 2005
11:10 pm
J.Kende
November 18, 2005
7:27 am
Gabriel Mihalache
November 18, 2005
7:51 am
Nothing. Mind your own business. If you fear China economically... don't. It makes no sense. If you fear China militarily, well, their track record on that issue is far better than the US's, for example. (The probability of the US invading another country dwarfs that of China doing the same.)
One thing the US could do is to fully recognize Taiwan and offer unequivocal protection to Taiwan and to the straights of Taiwan. How's that for doing something?
snow
November 18, 2005
1:43 pm
That is ridiculous. If you think for a second that the Chinese are sitting back and minding their own business regarding the US, you're crazy. I think the Chinese are very seriously tracking every move the US does and is doing all it can to put itself in an advantageous position vis-a-vis the Yankees. Why shouldn't the Americans do the same?
I do agree that the US could offer recognition and make a bigger show of unequivocal protection to Taiwan, but would that be the best thing strategically for the US? The Americans think that the status quo is in their best interests, by allowing them to still work with the Chinese while implying protection of Taiwan, whereas such a move as you suggest would imperil relations with the Chinese.
In some ways, I would like to see the US stand firmly behind Taiwan (as I hate commies and don't trust the Chinese government), but strategically I don't think it would be the best thing for US interests to be so out there in that way (better to be covert about it).
Ron Patterson
November 18, 2005
10:54 pm
Gabriel Mihalache What! China's invasion of Tibet attempted invasion of Taiwan its shelling ofTaiwan soil for twenty years, battles wuth Russia and India, sending troops to fight in korea , Sending 400,000 advisors to Vietnam to assist in that little incident, A mini war with Vietnam, seizing of Mongolian lands and expanding the borders of the Xingyang province at the expense of it's neighbors. Oh yeah a big proportion of its military poised to invade Taiwan. It easily matches the U.S. military,s record of aggression
Sorry for long post. Of course we can not 'manage' China's rise, but we can manage our respose to it's growing strength, part of that management whould be a military that is prepared to challenge them and keep a balance in the world, and suppport positive developments in their internal affairs.