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	<title>Comments on: Kaplan&#8217;s Blueprint for&#160;Action</title>
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	<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/</link>
	<description>Speak Victorian, Think Pagan</description>
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		<title>By: IJ</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-30593</link>
		<dc:creator>IJ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Sep 2005 21:01:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-30593</guid>
		<description>The decision to publish the report suggests that even the key funders are seriously unconvinced that the military action was a good idea. The report ends: &quot;Hopefully policy makers and others that have better data than we have can refine our approach and assess whether the benefits justify the costs.&quot;

This sounds like a challenge.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The decision to publish the report suggests that even the key funders are seriously unconvinced that the military action was a good idea. The report ends: &#8220;Hopefully policy makers and others that have better data than we have can refine our approach and assess whether the benefits justify the costs.&#8221;</p>

<p>This sounds like a challenge.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: J.Kende</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-30590</link>
		<dc:creator>J.Kende</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Sep 2005 18:48:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-30590</guid>
		<description>Yet, the American GDP will grow by trillions of $ over the next few years at current growth rates. 

If non military spending is brought under even a semblance of discipline post-katrina and otherwise, it really isn&#039;t all that hard to see continued economic growth hand in hand with continued high expenditures on international security. The SF model though is not only a lighter footprint than waiting for failed states to demand all out war, it is also far cheaper. As with many things, a healthy expenditure on prevention is much less expensive than mopping up the mess after years of negligence. 

On Iraq, one positive to the high price of oil is a large increase in the amount of money going towards reconstruction there. Pre-war they were expecting to be exporting more oil than they have turned out to be able to post-war. But with the price of oil 3 times what they expected it to be, the money flow will be one of the biggest shapers of events in the post constitution-writing, post basic government-forming period. The real concern over the longer view is the entrenched culture of corruption after decades of Ba&#039;athist rule, not the insurgency. If reliable civil institutions can take strong root, the cost of this first step to a transformation of the middle east may begin to look like a bargain. 

What I would like to hear from those who are so loudly critical of short term expenditures on military operations and post-disaster reconstruction efforts, is a full recognition that our budget problems are structural, not circumstantial. If you are serious and sincere about fiscal sanity, advocate Gingrich style Medicare/Medicaid reform, Social Security reform including personal retirement accounts, the end of farm subsidies, etc. Sure we can find many ways in which our military could use it&#039;s funding better, but if we are going to get into fiscal policy let&#039;s start with areas of the federal budget where hundreds of billions of dollars could be saved without shortchanging national and international security -- simply by changing the old New Deal into a much better deal.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yet, the American <span class="caps">GDP </span>will grow by trillions of $ over the next few years at current growth rates. </p>

<p>If non military spending is brought under even a semblance of discipline post-katrina and otherwise, it really isn&#8217;t all that hard to see continued economic growth hand in hand with continued high expenditures on international security. The SF model though is not only a lighter footprint than waiting for failed states to demand all out war, it is also far cheaper. As with many things, a healthy expenditure on prevention is much less expensive than mopping up the mess after years of negligence. </p>

<p>On Iraq, one positive to the high price of oil is a large increase in the amount of money going towards reconstruction there. Pre-war they were expecting to be exporting more oil than they have turned out to be able to post-war. But with the price of oil 3 times what they expected it to be, the money flow will be one of the biggest shapers of events in the post constitution-writing, post basic government-forming period. The real concern over the longer view is the entrenched culture of corruption after decades of Ba&#8217;athist rule, not the insurgency. If reliable civil institutions can take strong root, the cost of this first step to a transformation of the middle east may begin to look like a bargain. </p>

<p>What I would like to hear from those who are so loudly critical of short term expenditures on military operations and post-disaster reconstruction efforts, is a full recognition that our budget problems are structural, not circumstantial. If you are serious and sincere about fiscal sanity, advocate Gingrich style Medicare/Medicaid reform, Social Security reform including personal retirement accounts, the end of farm subsidies, etc. Sure we can find many ways in which our military could use it&#8217;s funding better, but if we are going to get into fiscal policy let&#8217;s start with areas of the federal budget where hundreds of billions of dollars could be saved without shortchanging national and international security &#8212; simply by changing the old New Deal into a much better deal.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: IJ</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-30579</link>
		<dc:creator>IJ</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Sep 2005 13:33:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-30579</guid>
		<description>Military action can be very costly.  Concentrating only on the financial burden for taxpayers, the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution decided to get together.  The &quot;report&quot;:http://aei-brookings.org/admin/authorpdfs/page.php?id=1188 includes:

&quot;Government policies are routinely subjected to rigorous cost analysis.  Yet one of today&#039;s most controversial and expensive policies - the ongoing war in Iraq - has not been. . . We estimate . . .costs through 2015 could be $604 billion to the US, $95 billion to coalition partners, and $306 billion to Iraq, suggesting a global total . . . of about $1 trillion.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Military action can be very costly.  Concentrating only on the financial burden for taxpayers, the American Enterprise Institute and the Brookings Institution decided to get together.  The <a href="http://aei-brookings.org/admin/authorpdfs/page.php?id=1188">report</a> includes:</p>

<p>&#8220;Government policies are routinely subjected to rigorous cost analysis.  Yet one of today&#8217;s most controversial and expensive policies &#8211; the ongoing war in Iraq &#8211; has not been. . . We estimate . . .costs through 2015 could be $604 billion to the <span class="caps">US, </span>$95 billion to coalition partners, and $306 billion to Iraq, suggesting a global total . . . of about $1 trillion.&#8221;</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: maskull</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-29403</link>
		<dc:creator>maskull</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Sep 2005 18:45:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-29403</guid>
		<description>The New Army.  No draft.  They did succeed in weeding out the druggies, but have ended up with soldiers that represent a different class than much of the population.  Hence the problems in New Orleans after Katrina.

In years gone by, we would never have seen the likes of Charmaine Neville covering for those who fired on Army helicopters.  In the interview she sounded as though she&#039;d been coached by an attorney, worried of what she might encounter in front of a potential grand jury.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The New Army.  No draft.  They did succeed in weeding out the druggies, but have ended up with soldiers that represent a different class than much of the population.  Hence the problems in New Orleans after Katrina.</p>

<p>In years gone by, we would never have seen the likes of Charmaine Neville covering for those who fired on Army helicopters.  In the interview she sounded as though she&#8217;d been coached by an attorney, worried of what she might encounter in front of a potential grand jury.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: nadezhda</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-28952</link>
		<dc:creator>nadezhda</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Sep 2005 19:24:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-28952</guid>
		<description>Not to be picky, but since you keep pointing to Andrew Bachevich as a leading Kaplan critic. Bachevich is a proud conservative of the anti-imperial realist stripe. He&#039;d be quite amused that you place him on the left. Certainly, he appears in left-leaning publications, but he also writes for conservative magazines and academic journals of various hues. Also, although he was professional military before he became a professor, his training was as a diplomatic not a military historian. His commentary on the military has been primarily in the context of the intersection of domestic politics, national security/foreign policy bureaucracies, political economy and grand strategy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not to be picky, but since you keep pointing to Andrew Bachevich as a leading Kaplan critic. Bachevich is a proud conservative of the anti-imperial realist stripe. He&#8217;d be quite amused that you place him on the left. Certainly, he appears in left-leaning publications, but he also writes for conservative magazines and academic journals of various hues. Also, although he was professional military before he became a professor, his training was as a diplomatic not a military historian. His commentary on the military has been primarily in the context of the intersection of domestic politics, national security/foreign policy bureaucracies, political economy and grand strategy.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Eddie</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-28853</link>
		<dc:creator>Eddie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Sep 2005 13:07:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-28853</guid>
		<description>I have no idea how Rumsfeld&#039;s massive changes and reforms of DOD will impact the overall military, but I think that within 5-7 years, the rest of the government (and the state/local governments as well) could be looking at the US&#039;s first 21st Century, CORE/GAP relevant organization.  There are many good things that the rest of the country could take from the military (especially integrated logistics/planning/training/information dissemination) already, and I think the recent problems we&#039;ve seen with civilian responses to Katrina, blackouts and security issues could be significantly alleviated by applying lessons from the military, especially the SF.

Most of all, the whole country from the smallest town to the most populous state needs to breathe deeply and finally get it through its thick skull that interdependence is the new reality, not an option.  Until then, the rest of the gov&#039;t and the country will only fall further behind the SF&#039;s stellar example.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have no idea how Rumsfeld&#8217;s massive changes and reforms of <span class="caps">DOD </span>will impact the overall military, but I think that within 5-7 years, the rest of the government (and the state/local governments as well) could be looking at the <span class="caps">US&#8217;</span>s first 21st Century, <span class="caps">CORE</span>/GAP relevant organization.  There are many good things that the rest of the country could take from the military (especially integrated logistics/planning/training/information dissemination) already, and I think the recent problems we&#8217;ve seen with civilian responses to Katrina, blackouts and security issues could be significantly alleviated by applying lessons from the military, especially the <span class="caps">SF.</span></p>

<p>Most of all, the whole country from the smallest town to the most populous state needs to breathe deeply and finally get it through its thick skull that interdependence is the new reality, not an option.  Until then, the rest of the gov&#8217;t and the country will only fall further behind the <span class="caps">SF&#8217;</span>s stellar example.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: mark safranski</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-28783</link>
		<dc:creator>mark safranski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Sep 2005 07:19:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-28783</guid>
		<description>&quot; Kaplan&#039;s pessimism has toned down in the past few years, but he gives us one big warning: the Gap may be shrinking, but it is becoming far more dangerous&quot;

Actually, being almost finished with BFA, I&#039;d say that Dr. Barnett would agree with that phenomenon.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8221; Kaplan&#8217;s pessimism has toned down in the past few years, but he gives us one big warning: the Gap may be shrinking, but it is becoming far more dangerous&#8221;</p>

<p>Actually, being almost finished with <span class="caps">BFA,</span> I&#8217;d say that Dr. Barnett would agree with that phenomenon.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: J. Kende</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-28780</link>
		<dc:creator>J. Kende</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Sep 2005 07:09:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-28780</guid>
		<description>I should have included at the end: How do we shrink the Gap at home?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I should have included at the end: How do we shrink the Gap at home?</p>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: J. Kende</title>
		<link>http://cominganarchy.com/2005/09/17/kaplans-blueprint-for-action/comment-page-1/#comment-28779</link>
		<dc:creator>J. Kende</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 Sep 2005 07:07:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cominganarchy.com/?p=1108#comment-28779</guid>
		<description>&quot;How do you shrink the Gap? You need a new type of American warrior.&quot;

A new type of American warrior is right. It&#039;s going to take more than that though. As Kaplan touches on many times later in the book, the home front and the aristocracy mentality in key upper positions of the old military can doom the delicate work at the frontier. As he also shows when glancing at the moves by China and others, spreading presense and favorable conditions on the ground can be done in ways other than through top-notch small military teams. Education and the war of ideas at home, commerce and demographics at the frontiers, all fall far short of the amazing work American SF are doing around the world. What do you think it will take for that to change? What do you think it will take for America and Americans at home to more closely resemble the always-on strength, courage, intelligence, modesty, and determination of those profiled by Kaplan in Imperial Grunts?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;How do you shrink the Gap? You need a new type of American warrior.&#8221;</p>

<p>A new type of American warrior is right. It&#8217;s going to take more than that though. As Kaplan touches on many times later in the book, the home front and the aristocracy mentality in key upper positions of the old military can doom the delicate work at the frontier. As he also shows when glancing at the moves by China and others, spreading presense and favorable conditions on the ground can be done in ways other than through top-notch small military teams. Education and the war of ideas at home, commerce and demographics at the frontiers, all fall far short of the amazing work American SF are doing around the world. What do you think it will take for that to change? What do you think it will take for America and Americans at home to more closely resemble the always-on strength, courage, intelligence, modesty, and determination of those profiled by Kaplan in Imperial Grunts?</p>]]></content:encoded>
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