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Chirol
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Chirol

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August 21st, 2005

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Rules Are Made to be Broken

In 1815, the dust was just settling from the Napoleonic wars that ravaged the European continent. Prince von Metternich, Foreign Minister of Austria-Hungary, chaired a series of discussions from October 1, 1814, to June 9, 1815 regarding collective security in Europe. Prussia, Austria-Hungary, France, the United Kingdom and Russia took part. They supported the idea that “There is always an alternative to conflict.” [1]

Monarchies were restored all over Europe and the national boundries were redrawn to reestablish the balance of power. Everything Napoleon did was undone. The result was forty years of peace in Europe. The Congress of Vienna’s goals were:

“To secure the execution of the present Treaty and to consolidate the connections which at the present moment so closely unite the Four Sovereigns for the happiness of the world they have agreed to renew their Meetings at fixed periods… for the consideration of measures for the repose and prosperity of Nations and for the maintenance of the Peace of Europe”[2]
While Metternich was notoriously aristocratic and never attempted to disguise his disdain for common people, the Congress of Vienna was nevertheless a noble goal to work towards. It also established the so-called “Congress System.”

“The Congress system is a diplomatic process adhered to between 1815 and 1822, under which all matters of international importance were discussed at meeting of all European powers in order to insure uniform action on the part of all concerned.”[3]
“According to the Congress system the main signatory powers were to meet periodically (every two years or so) and collectively manage European Affairs.[4] Over the next decade, about five such European Congresss were held where disputed were resolved with an increasing degree of infeffectiveness. And as with many such treaties or international organizations, it eventually become obselete. By 1822, the whole system had essentially collapsed due to unreconcilable differences of opinion between the United Kingdom, Austria and Russia, as well as lack of support for the Congress system among the British public.

While the actual meetings of the Congress System lasted only a decade, the peace created by Europe’s great powers lasted forty years. The Congress System was reactionary, created in the wake of a terrible tragedy. Over time, after the situation had been remedied, and as the geopolitical situation changed due to various factors and perhaps most importantly the decline of the Ottoman empire, the previously established order was no longer enough to prevent war.

In 1945, as the dust was just settling on the European and Asian continent from the second world war, the United States, along with 51 other countries founded the United Nations. “The founders of the UN had high hopes that it would act to prevent conflicts between nations and make future wars impossible, by fostering an ideal of collective security.” Peace would be preserved through international cooperation and collective security. This again, was a reaction to the second World War and an attempt to pick up where the League of Nations left off after WWI.

The Congress System created in Vienna was thrown off balance by a major power’s decline. In order to prevent an upset in the balance of power in Europe, the Ottoman empire was essentially put on life support in an attempt to preserve the status quo. Ultimately, little could have prevented WWI whose major causes were structural. Though the United Nations still meets regularly to discuss world affairs and has spawned many suborganizations, it too has become outdated. Though no major powers are in decline to an extent that would seriously upset world affairs, India and China are on the rise and Asia is quickly replacing Europe as the second pillar of globalization (with the US of course being the first). Combine that with new international threats such as nuclear proliferation, failed states and terrorism and we are looking at a major rule set change. The US has already responded to it, which came in the form of 9/11 and the former so-called “lesser includeds” whereas Europe hardly has.

Most European countries face not only new threats internationally but rapidly failing social systems on the domestic front. If they are unwilling to make the necessary changes domestically, how can we expect them to muster the will to do so internationally. Europe’s growing irrelevance puts them in a position of growing weakness from which they have to negotiate and experience has shown that the more irrelevant they become, the more important they think they are. I can’t help but be skeptical about the upcoming United Nations efforts to reform. Without touching on individual reforms themselves nor my own problems with the United Nations, we should all remember one thing:

At the end of the day, rules to break are better than no rules at all.

Comments to this entry

IJ
August 21, 2005
4:34 pm
Many doubt the possibility of international cooperation to achieve collective security. However, NATO are "optimistic":http://www.nato.int/docu/speech/2005/s050429a.htm.

"one of NATO's big success stories in recent times has been the establishment of . . .network of partnerships across Central Europe, the Caucasus, Central Asia and now the Muslim countries."

But additional links must be formed: "We have to think about the competing organisations such as in the East Asia, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and the Russian-led CSTO, the Collective Security Treaty Organisation, we're going to have to perhaps co-opt those and work alongside them if we want to share- and I've talked already about this multilateral intelligence sharing."
Chirol
August 22, 2005
1:53 pm
IJ: Perhaps the biggest problem with collective security is the optimism itself. The world will never be able to get along and work together to achieve eternal peace. The best we can hope for is half-functioning system where most conflicts are resolved peacefully and enough stability is maintained to perpetuate trade and prosperity. Progress is great, but when one looks back over time and the many many attempts at collective security, they have all failed. We must adopt a utilitarian point of view. Collective security through various IO's should merely aim to create the most peace for the most people for the longest amount of time. Nothing more.

As Ralph Peters notes in Fighting for the Future:

"We must be willing to let the flames burn themselves out when ever we are not in danger of catching fire ourselves.
IJ
August 22, 2005
4:51 pm
Chirol, you might appreciate "this article":http://news.ft.com/cms/s/6e74c920-0fa7-11da-bd5c-00000e2511c8.html at the week-end from the FT magazine. Ian Baruma concludes: "For Pax Americana is our pax too; with all its flaws and bloody history, it is still the only one we have got."

On the other hand, the 'empire' will have difficulty attracting willing recruits - a common problem for some militaries nowadays. But this palls beside the uncertainty that is likely in the global economy.