Entry details

Chirol
Author

Chirol

Date

August 10th, 2005

Tags

, , , , ,

Comments

7 Comments so far.
Add yours.

Europe Ruins the Day….Again

In yet another move indicative of the complete lack of understanding Germany has regarding international relations, Gerhard Schröder has said that “I see no possibility other than reaching a resolution through negotiations…” Yes Gerhard, if we just keep talking to Iran, we can definitely convince them to stop trying to build nuclear weapons. After all, the tongue is mightier than the sword right? This sounds familiar. We all just have different views on the matter right?

However, given the upcoming elections in September, Schröder and the SPD will be unwilling to even discuss the use of force as they are already in desperate need of votes. The Iraq war didn’t hurt his past election and the US should be careful not to make too much of an issue of Iran yet in order to avoid giving the SPD additionally support. Though Iran is clearly a threat, we have more time to deal with it than with countries like North Korea. And, of the utmost importance is that we very clearly outline the dangers of a nuclear Iran, the consequences for the entire world (concentrating on Europe), of their support for terrorism and that we layout a clear plan of action detailing the diplomatic and military routes and where the end of the diplomatic road is. The Europeans are already quite skeptical of the US given our poor salesmanship on Iraq and we’ll have to work twice as hard to get them on board for action against Iran.

Thus, Europe continues to appease terrorists and rogue states. If anyone should know the danger of appeasement and its consequences, it should be the Germans! Yet, though I have my differences with the German government, I can’t blame them entirely as their constituency is mostly to blame. Why are the Germans so eager to allow anyone to do what they want while the Iranians and North Koreans happily pursue WMD?

1) Memories of WWII and especially the RAF
2) Fear of terrorist attacks in Germany
3) Education which places too much value on peace and pacifism
4) Failure to truly understand the terrorist and rougue state threat
5) Unwillingness to take Risks

Despite the fact that German elections are coming which will likely lead to a new government, these issues remain important and will remain largely unchanged after September. The question is, how can they be solved?

Comments to this entry

Curzon
August 10, 2005
11:04 pm
When will these people learn!

Saying:

"I see no possibility other than reaching a resolution through negotiations."Â?

...just about GUARANTEES that you will not reach a peaceful resolution through negotiations because it discloses that you are willing to sue for peace, thus giving the other paty every incentive to give you absolutely nothing at the negotiating table.

IDIOTS!
Chirol
August 11, 2005
2:09 am
I struggled to write a post that was halfway formal and fair. When faced with such nonsense, keeping one's composure or formal air is indeed difficult. Idiots indeed!
Kira Zalan
August 11, 2005
2:15 am
The worst thing we can do is get scared and give away the farm. Lets cut through the tough talk and look at the facts. US and Israeli intelligence analysts estimate that Iran is years away from a nuclear weapons capability. North Korea is very likely to be overstating its nuclear capabilities, and will not cease its program no matter what we give them.

What we have today is a crisis in diplomacy. It is impossible to reach a compromise when the intentions of the negotiating parties are mutually exclusive. But despite another failed relationship therapy session, nothing has changed in the capabilities reality.

This time, we must stand firm with the realization that the more we give, the more we fuel the fire.
Chirol
August 11, 2005
2:34 am
Kira: This is partially a crisis of diplomacy, but as time has shown and seems to continue to prove, diplomacy will almost certainly not be the solution. With Iran, our positions aren't completely mutually exclusive. I imagine the US, though wary, would rather have a nuclear armed democratic Iran than the current one, the problem is largely the government, though in reality any further nuclear armed states is a huge problem and breach of the NPT. As for N. Korea, overestimation or not, most would agree they've already gone nuclear and every day N. Korea isn't disarmed is a day lost.
mark safranski
August 11, 2005
3:51 am
The bad news - Iranian hardliners with nukes. The good news - miniaturization of warheads and tech like lenses and triggers is exceptionally hard. Even with help.

The reality is we will not have Europe with us on Iran this one any more than we did on Iraq, barring the opposition sweeping into office in Germany and then aligning with a Sarkozy dominated French government and Tony Blair's UK. THAT would have potential but until then - nada.

Schroeder sees American primacy as the # 1 problem for Europe and George W. Bush in particular as an irritating obstacle to an EU dominated Atlantic relationship with America. He's a '68 er at heart
ComingAnarchy.com » Blog Archive » Undermining Peace By Any Means Necessary
August 11, 2005
4:08 pm
[...] Sir Ignatius Chirol, my dear comrade in arms—it ain’t just the Europeans... [...]
S.H.Tappe
September 20, 2005
3:00 pm
Well, bad news is that the one and only safe-guard of so called "paria-states" are atomic weapons. Who is the one to decide? After all, if it´s neighbor Pakistan is allowed to hold atomic weapons (as well as India - think of the consequences of an atomic fight over Kashmir!), why shouldn´t Iran? And if you are still in doubt, recall (rightfully) the surpression of human rights in Iran - how about Saudi-Arabia then?
What this all comes down to is mere and simple imperial US power. This Bushies think they can rule the whole world with the largest army. Now it is time to think how successful they really are - loke on Iraq! What consequences would a war on Iran have? Well, good luck boys. I´m happy my government doesn´t want to send me there! That´s another good reasons I won´t vote for Merkel.

Henning