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Curzon
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Curzon

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April 22nd, 2005

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Koizumi’s Political Jujitsu

I’ve was going to reserve comment on Koizumi’s most recent apology for Japan’s wartime actions as MutantFrog basically said all I wanted to say. Also, I’m more interested in the comments to be read at Marmot or elsewhere as the typically infantile and irrational netizens fly off the handle with shouts that Koizumi wasn’t sincere. I’ve now seen enough to make a preliminary comment. More may follow, but I’m pretty exhausted with this issue.

From the BBC:

“Japan squarely faces these facts of history in a spirit of humility.” The wording repeats previous Japanese apologies – but analysts say the international setting gives the statement added weight.

Unsurprisingly, I see no evidence that the Chinese or the Koreans are taking it seriously. Check out this Korean cartoon, with an English explanation. China has made some positive noises. But politically, this is a very deft move for Koizumi. People can no longer say that Japan’s refusal to apologize is the issue (even though this was a major repeat of what Japan has already said). Koizumi hasn’t met with any Chinese President, Zhong Zemin or Hu Jintao, since becoming Prime Minister in 2001, but said he looked forward to meeting Hu at the current development summit in Jakarta. Beijing has yet to agree—they have so far refused to let the two leaders meet—but all eyes are now on them, not Japan. The timing was also crutial, coming not just on the heels of the recent anti-Japan protests in but also just hours after 80 Japanese politicians visited the Yasukuni Shrine.

Let’s face it, the speech was designed to stop the current friction from escalating and stop China from opposing Japan for a permanent seat on the U.N. Security Council. Koizumi has put the ball in China’s court, and the pressure’s off Japan. Nothing has changed in Japan’s position.

On a similar yet unrelated note, Ampontan at Japundit has a wicked post on bad journalism in Japan (of which there is plenty in the domestic English language press). In doing so, he explains why giving Korea the disputed islets in the Japan Sea (as advocated by the Asahi Shinbun) won’t just make the problems between the two countries disapear.

UPDATE: Great albeit dated article in the Economist.

UPDATE II: Stratfor.com on the apology:

Koizumi said Japan’s past “colonial rule and aggression, caused tremendous damage and suffering” to the people of Asia, and that Tokyo’s “feelings of deep remorse and heartfelt apology” underlie Japan’s current “principle of resolving all matters by peaceful means, without recourse to use of force.” Koizumi then called on the leaders to support the expansion of the U.N. Security Council, on which Japan is seeking a permanent seat.

That, my friends, is politics.

UPDATE III: Marmot hasn’t even mentioned the apology yet, but there’s already an off-topic discussion ongoing in this unrelated post.

Comments to this entry

Saru
April 22, 2005
3:25 pm
Haven't had time to fully digest much of this yet, but I can't blame the Chinese and Koreans for being skeptical. Let's be honest: Koizumi just repeated Murayama's words, the same as every other PM. But you make a good point, at least he's partially stemmed criticizm and possibly put the ball back in China's court. I think you summed it up quite succinctly: "nothing's changed for Japan."
Chirol
April 22, 2005
4:50 pm
I have to wonder about China's intentions though. As Japan has apologized so many times anyway, they don't lose much face for doing it again and can always remind the world how many times they have already done so thereby making China (and Korea) look bad. I would imagine China is stoking the nationalist sentiment to firstly help consolidate its hold on power and develop a new ideology to rally the people around as they shed their communist ways and secondly, to have a ostensible reason for voting against Japan's UNSC seat, though since when was the people's opinion a good enough reason for the Chinese leadership?
Plunge
April 22, 2005
5:03 pm
I guess it is too much to ask for the Diet to issue a statement...
Curzon
April 22, 2005
5:12 pm
Plunge, why the selective picking on Japan? Why are not Belgium, France, Russia, Britain, the US, etc etc etc etc not asked to proclaim similar apologies? Why not demand the Norwegians apologize for invading Britain, or the Arabs for overrunning Egypt?
praktike
April 22, 2005
7:10 pm
"Haven't had time to fully digest much of this yet, but I can't blame the Chinese and Koreans for being skeptical."

Skeptical of what?
Jing
April 22, 2005
7:18 pm
I think this issue is a matter of perception. You see Koizumi apologizing and trying to bring closure to the issue. The Chinese and Koreans see another 80 LDP politicians marching off to Yasukuni for reasons simply stemming from political spite. What good is another watered down apology when its accompanied by yet another slap in the face? This has been the problem all along despite the many semi-official "regrets" and apologies that have been issued, the domestic political response in Japan has never been welcoming to what they perceive as a self-effacing gesture of rapproachment.

As a personal opinion I don't believe the LDP is really regretful about the suffering caused in the war, from their attitudes the only thing they appear to regret is that they lost. Thats not to say all Japanese think this way, far from it, but the LDP has maintained a near monopoly on power in the postwar era and political opposition in Japan except for a brief period has never been viable.

On a more snarky note, you ask why this selective picking on Japan? The Japanophiles seem to share a common Japanese view. Well considering the "ware ware nihonjin" platitudes and pervasiveness of exceptionalism. Chock this up to another reason that the Japanese are unique.

p.s. It's Jiang Zemin not Zhong
Plunge
April 22, 2005
7:49 pm
Plunge, why the selective picking on Japan? Why are not Belgium, France, Russia, Britain, the US, etc etc etc etc not asked to proclaim similar apologies? Why not demand the Norwegians apologize for invading Britain, or the Arabs for overrunning Egypt?

I think the wikipedia says it best in this posting.

I won't put the whole thing here, just let those that are interested go read it.
Curzon
April 22, 2005
7:58 pm
So you bring me back to square one: "that Germany and Japan are like Apples and Oranges.":http://www.cominganarchy.com/2005/04/10/apples-and-oranges/
Mutantfrog
April 22, 2005
8:00 pm
I think the main reason that Japan is still being asked to apologize and none of those other countries are is that there are still many people alive today who were alive at the time. I expect that it'll be a completely dead issue in 50 years no matter what happens.
Curzon
April 22, 2005
8:14 pm
I disagree: as also stated in a previous post, "the people protesting in the streets are in their 10s and 20s":http://www.cominganarchy.com/2005/04/12/the-argument-reloaded/

EDIT: and since my perpetual analogy of colonialism far more brutal than Japan is Belgium in the Congo, that colony didn't gain it's independence until 1960...
Plunge
April 22, 2005
8:23 pm
I don't agree with the apples and oranges analogy here. You had similar events happening at the same time among allies. In Germany, you had them trying to exterminate the Jews. In Korea, you Japan trying exterminate a culture and history. You had horrific methods of killing on both sides. You have millions dead and, like Mutantfrog said, you have those that are still alive and remember. It will always bring comparisons, how these two allies during WWII responded to those that suffered under them.

Yes, you've had the young protesting. The young have parents and grandparents.

Personally, one of my most riveting conversations was half a day I spent with my Korean mother-in-law. I was doped up on morphine trying to pass a kidney stone and she sat next to me, a captive audience, regaling me with tails from her youth under the occupation of Japan and later during the Korean War. Despite protests to the contrary here and other places, she talked of friends disappearing in the night, being dragged off and the like to 'work' for the Japanese.

I'm sure many of those protesting have had similar experiences.
Saru
April 22, 2005
8:41 pm
Just a quick poll, how many people on this post think that Koizumi's apology was sincere? (Not trying to pick fights, just curious. If you wish to qualify your answer, please do so after answering a simple "yes" or "no.")
Curzon
April 22, 2005
8:46 pm
Plunge, thank you for that wonderful analogy. Young Koreans are put in morphine-induced stupors and brainwashed into hating the Japanese by their grandparents telling them stories that give them drugged and hazy nightmares. No wonder the national conscience is so traumatized. Evil Stalinist regime to the North? Growing threat to the west? Who cares! We'd rather protest Japan because when they say sorry, they don't bow low enough!

Saru, of course it wasn't sincere, but now every newspaper around is saying "Japan apologizes again," and the pressure is off them. I thought it would be stupid to say that with all the protests -- it would look like the PM was buckling. Actually, it's been remarkably deft.

There's no need for me to comment further, my views are documented in at leats half a dozen prior posts. For those of you who have seen my point, it's been an honor. For those of you who disagree, let's just accept that we have a different view of history.

Warmly, CURZON
BillyBob
April 22, 2005
9:06 pm
China's denial of the apology begins...

"China Officials Dismiss Japan Apology
":http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2005/04/22/international/i124928D38.DTL

Is this the beginning of the denial, or just a defensive shot across the bow? Stay tuned!
praktike
April 22, 2005
9:07 pm
Are you saying that Koizumi isn't really sorry?
Mutantfrog
April 22, 2005
9:15 pm
1: It's not that the people who were alive during the colonial period are the ones protesting, but a lot of the protestors are undoubtedly people who heard their stories only second hand. Once it gets old enough to be a story that you can't hear from someone who was there and is something that you can only learn about from books then it becomes a completely different matter.

2: The post-colonial relationship of Belgium and the Congo isn't quite comparable, because they are not next to each other and aren't forced to have constant relations like Korea, China and Japan.

3: I'm sure that Koizumi feels the same way as most people in Japan. They're sorry that these things happened in the past but don't honestly see what it has to do with them. Still, he's a politician and he did what he thought was diplomatic.
Plunge
April 22, 2005
9:25 pm
Plunge, thank you for that wonderful analogy. Young Koreans are put in morphine-induced stupors and brainwashed into hating the Japanese by their grandparents telling them stories that give them drugged and hazy nightmares. No wonder the national conscience is so traumatized. Evil Stalinist regime to the North? Growing threat to the west? Who cares! We'd rather protest Japan because when they say sorry, they don't bow low enough!

Heh...now that was hilarious. Thanks for my laugh of the day! ;-)
Sang
April 22, 2005
10:39 pm
koizumi is not being sincere...come on people...don't you know he spit shines & rims king george's arbusto ass everyday?...japan really wants to get on UN security council...it take very little energy for lying sack of shit like koizumi to just pay lit service "AGAIN"
Curzon
April 23, 2005
4:53 am
Charming headline:
"Japan Honors War Dead and Opens Neighbors' Wounds":http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A10450-2005Apr22.html
Thank you, Washington Post. Did they pick the scabs first? Or perhaps squeeze on fresh lemon juice?

And if the above Mr. Sang is correct, I expect to see this headline pretty soon as well:
Koizumi Gives Bush Rim Job, Tosses Salad
Joe
April 23, 2005
2:28 pm
I really hope that Bush gets a new tricked-out Acura at his next Japan visit, and Koizumi makes him a tasty seaweed salad.
tdaxp
April 24, 2005
11:45 pm
Hu What Happened (Textbook Controversy in Perspective)

"China, Hu's your daddy?," by Thomas Barnett, Thomas P.M. Barnett :: Weblog, 21 September 2004, http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com/weblog/archives2/000863.html.

While researching my Asia by Barnett article for Simon World, I came across this half-yea...
GraBlog » I-House people on the net
September 2, 2005
8:37 pm
[...] Unsuspectingly surfing the net again, I clicked my way from Coming Anarchy over to Japundit and then to Pixelscribbles, I suddenly read of Justin Klein’s descriptions of his amazing experiences at Ritsumeikan University – currently a 產™å­¦ç”?Ÿ (foreign student) at Rits! There’re also pictures of of Kyoto – 攡Â?ãÂ?”¹Ã£Â?—ãÂ?”ž! – and the new I-House – there are two now and I heard they’re building another one. There’re other I-House bloggers as well, take a look at dubious adventures, Bootleg YHM and Yamasama. I read Mutantfrog’s weblog before, but didn’t know he studied at Rits, too. Justin Klein and Mutantfrog added to Blogroll. Posted in Japan, WWW, People   [...]