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Curzon
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Curzon

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April 3rd, 2005

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Armenia’s Respect for US Power

I have precious little sympathy for Armenia. The national obsession over the alleged genocide is toxic to the civic culture (for example, they prioritize Turkey’s recognition of the massacre over basic development). The government is abysmal, on par with the dictatorship in Belarus. But I didn’t think there was a viable alternative to the current situation until I read this in Eurasianet:

The Armenian opposition is growing frustrated with the European Union’s apparent reluctance to press hard for political reform in Yerevan. Opposition leaders now regard the United States as the only potential source of external support for their efforts to force President Robert Kocharian’s resignation and to open Armenia’s political system.

One prominent oppositionist spoke for many of his colleagues recently when he said privately, “The world has only one boss, and you know what that country is.”

Woah, tough words! (And eerily proto-fascist.) But the Armenian opposition is simply respecting power, plain and simple. The EU is pathetically toothless in encouraging democracy in the region, criticizing Armenia’s numerous economic and political problems yet obliging President Kocharian to achieve nothing. Unhappy opposition leaders now feel that support for regime change in Armenia will come from Washington, apparently fueling a boom in pro-American sentiment.

But note: the respect isn’t because of our values, it’s because of our power. As one member of the opposition said, “It is clear to everybody that the superpower’s [US] position in our region will increasingly strengthen. So everybody is seeking to be friends with the future master.” That, my friends, is how politics work. Forget respect for values and ideals. When it comes down to the wire, people will respect us because of our strength. And, of course, how we use it.

Sage advice for fellows such as Mr. Craig Murray.

Comments to this entry

Dan
April 4, 2005
12:22 am
What do you think the prospects for an *insert color here* Revolution in Armenia?
Curzon
April 4, 2005
12:52 am
Good question, but lacking any information outside what we can all read online, I am wholly unqualified to predict anything. Younghusband, however, is a somewhat seasoned south Caucasus affairs fellow. Any input, dear friend?
praktike
April 4, 2005
3:15 pm
This again? Jeebus, the word genocide was coined in response to the ethnic cleansing of Armenians.
Curzon
April 4, 2005
3:20 pm
Not that I want to debate this, but the wikipedia entry on genocide pretty much sums up my thoughts.

HISTORY OF GENOCIDE

Genocide appears to be a regular and widespread feature of the history of civilization. The phrase "never again" often used in relation to genocide has been contradicted up to the present day.
Nathan
April 4, 2005
3:35 pm
That being said, Curzon, I wouldn't fault any group of people who are upset at another group's attempt to exterminate them regardless of how common genocides have been in the past.
Curzon
April 4, 2005
4:50 pm
Upset, yes. For example, see: Native Indians on America, Kurds in Iraq, Ainu in Japan, Tibetans, the Hazara, the Meung, etc etc etc. Armenia has allowed its historical greivances, which are unrelated to the modern day, interfere with their current relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey. And they're suffering in the process.
Nathan
April 4, 2005
5:30 pm
Those grievances are intensely related to the modern day. It's not as if Armenians are asking for Turkey to give them the historical center of their civilization. They're refusing to climb under the heels of Turkish boots and be pliant -- something they have every right to do. When Turkey goes so far as to call the war over Nagorno-Karabakh the "Azeri genocide," I'm more than willing to place a heap of blame on them for not owning up to trying to erase Armenia from the face of the earth.

I'll grant that dwelling on victimhood isn't the healthiest thing in the world, but that's not all that Armenia's about by any stretch of the imagination (and it's much more common amongst the diaspora if I'm properly informed...). Victimhood gets old, sure, but one could just as easily say that Azerbaijan and Turkey should just get over Karabakh, stop pretending to be victims, and repair relations with Armenia.
Curzon
April 4, 2005
5:46 pm
I basically agree. Armenia should get Nagorno-Karabkh. Whatever Turkish bureaucrat chose to call it the "Azeri Genocide" was a dolt. And the Azeris and the Turks should try and repair relations with Armenia. "But at least Turkey is making proactive moves,":http://www.eurasianet.net/departments/civilsociety/articles/eav020105.shtml which is more than Armenia can say.

Armenia's economic and political isolation, where their only friends are "Iran":http://www.eurasianet.net/departments/business/articles/eav030305.shtml and "Russia":http://www.eurasianet.net/departments/insight/articles/eav121305.shtml is a direct result of their refusal to make any progress on relations with their Turkish neighbors until there is recognition of the genocide. This stubborness -- call it "South Korea Syndrome" -- is not in their best interests.
praktike
April 4, 2005
6:03 pm
I wonder how Armenia would have turned out if the US had accepted its League of Nations mandate way back when?
Dr. Alfred Russel Wallace
April 5, 2005
12:23 am
It is staggering how long people can be persuaded to hold grievances/vindications.... think of the Orangemen in Belfast, Ireland, who march every year to celebrate the 1690 Protestant victory over Roman Catholic forces in the Battle of the Boyne.  They take their name from Protestant King William III of Orange (i.e. Holland, who only had the job because he was married to Queen Mary II), who defeated former King James II, Mary's Catholic father!
What's more, the battle was about who should be King of England....
Every year the march inflames Catholic-Protestant relations in Ulster/Northern Ireland...... I am confident that most British citizens wish they would "give it up" - and so should the Armenians..... and the Chinese with Japan, and the South Koreans with Japan, etc, etc......