Peter Zeihan @ Stratfor

A one Mr. Peter Zeihan has started writing at Stratfor.com, a service to which Sir Younghusband and myself subscribe. Up until now the only authored articles from Stratfor have come from Chairman and Founder George Friedman. (The rest of the analysis is anonymously authored.) Who is this new face at everyone’s favorite “private CIA,” and what’s so special about him to bump him up to the top tier of credited authorship?

I scoured the web for a biography of Mr. Zeihan and came up pretty short. He’s an energy analyst and a Russian and Central Asian affairs analyst. I couldn’t find a proper biography or CV, but for some reason, this email was posted on the web, dated 1997!

Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 08:47:47 -0500 (EST)
From: Bernard Krisher
To: PZeihan@aol.com
Subject: Re: Korea

November 19, 1997

Dear Peter Zeihan

I apologize for not responding to you sooner but I have just returned from a long trip. Your credentials are impressive and motivation is deeply appreciated but my work with North Korea is basically a “no budget” family project which requires only some volunteer work here in Tokyo, such as helping with shipping, packing and translations. As it is also difficult to get into North Korea, I propose you might wish to look elsewhere to use your skills. I am also quite involved in Cambodia and there are many NGO projects there. Your skills would probably be put to better use in a region where travel is freer and mobility not impeded.

Best regards,
Bernard Krisher

Hello, my name is Peter Zeihan and I am currently a graduate student in international diplomacy and development. I just took in your web page on the North Korea situation. While I don’t have much in the way of financial resources (none actually) I do have a strong background in Korean politics and economics as well as a great deal of first-hand experience living and working in remote areas with little to no contact with the outside world, both in worker and leadership positions. As part of my graduate program I am expected to find an internship dealing with development/diplomacy and so far I have submitted applications to a number of federal agencies and NGOs, but I believe that your program may be more my style. If you are interested in having an assistant who can do everything from long-term on-foot travel to public speaking to computer proficiency, please contact me. I you would like to see a resume I can send one to you.
Peter Zeihan
700 Woodland Ave. F225
Lexington, KY 40508-3423
(606) 323-7221
pzeih0@pop.uky.edu

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Weird — check it out. It’s creepy to think someone would post private emails on the internet and archive them there forever. (And just in case he ever takes it down, I’ve now archived it here — FOREVER!)

About Curzon

Lord George Nathaniel Curzon (1859 - 1925) entered the British House of Commons as a Conservative MP in 1886, where he served as undersecretary of India and Foreign Affairs. He was appointed Viceroy of India at the turn of the 20th century where he delineated the North West Frontier Province, ordered a military expedition to Tibet, and unsuccessfully tried to partition the province of Bengal during his six-year tenure. Curzon served as Leader of the House of Lords in Prime Minister Lloyd George's War Cabinet and became Foreign Secretary in January 1919, where his most famous act was the drawing of the Curzon Line between a new Polish state and Russia. His publications include Russia in Central Asia (1889) and Persia and the Persian Question (1892). In real life, "Curzon" is a US citizen from the East Coast who has been a financial analyst, freelance translator, and university professor; he is currently on assignment in Tokyo.
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5 Responses to Peter Zeihan @ Stratfor

  1. Peter Zeihan says:

    You kidding? I make my living on the web!

    Creepy indeed ;)

  2. brad says:

    Ha! I believe Mr. Zeihan will become a very important analyst for international affairs.

    His March 23, 2005 analysis, “China’s Long March to Bankruptcy,” is right on schedule.

    On July 31, 2001, Gordon Chang, in his book, “The Coming Collapse of China,” estimated that China would begin to implode beginning around 2005. Well, this is 2005 and there are many signs that the Chinese economy is coming up to crunch time.

    Peter Zeihan is at the right place – Stratfor. I’m looking forward to his first book.

  3. shintaro says:

    I have come across a couple of articles written by Mr. Zeihan on the Internet, and I am deeply impressed with his astute insights about recent China affairs.

    He is brilliant. I am curious about his view on Japan by the way.

    Interculturally yours,

    TOMINAGA, Shintaro
    Chiba-ken, Japan
    Intercultural Business Consultant

  4. Curzon says:

    Re: Gordon Chang v. Peter Zeihan on disaster predictions for China

    From Mr. Zeihan’s Stratfor article from March 23, 2005: “A series of crises will erupt between now and the end of 2006, any one of which could be sufficient to cause an implosion.”

    Additionally, while I’m no particular fan of Mr. Gordon, please note that 2005 has come but not yet gone. As for Mr. Zeihan’s prediction, the clock is ticking.

    Re: Mr. Zeihan on Japan

    Available here: http://www.stratfor.com/seo/Story.neo?storyId=111111

    I was not impressed. Rather than a current analysis it was a vague cultural theory that invoked Kobe earthquake and the Meiji Restoration on progress and development in Japan with no relevant inclusion of current events and which ended with the cryptic: “Another earthquake is coming to Japan, and it will make Kobe look like child’s play.” Hard to think this passes muster as strategic analysis.

  5. TOMINAGA, Shintaro says:

    Thanks to Curzon-san’s quote of ,
    I was able to read his view onJapan.

    Curzon-san’s opinion of not being impressed with Peter Zeihan’s view on Japan is partially agreeable. HOwever, Peter Zeihan is almost right about Japan’s critical condition now she is facing, and at the same time he views Japan only from the standpoint of the US. That’s the point that I sahre with Curzon-san’s impression on him. He should have commented that not only Japan but also the US and other nations are facing big problems. If Japan fails in her economic policy, the US will get severe damage in its chain reaction. Peter Zeihan could have forgotten to analyze it, or he could be scared to see the effects of complexity science that can’t give anyone any clear vision.

    Interculturally yours,
    Chiba-ken, Japan
    Intercultural Business Consultant